The Syrian affair has been evolving quite poorly for the western powers,particularly these past few months,when the tide has been gradually shifting in favour of the government forces,as opposition and radical islamic factions have been for the most part losing ground and retreating in key strategic areas.At best for the opposition and their western backers,we have reached at this point a stalemate,where more major gains by the Syrian Army are unlikely but the resources of the Islamist fanatics and other opposition fighters are spreading thin,while the much-needed support by the local populace is virtually non-existent after a successive number of atrocities committed by these so-called freedom fighters.
In order to save face and rescue their assets on the ground,the western powers were in a desperate need to find an excuse for intervening in Syria.After staging heinous crimes in the ground and trying to blame the Syrian Army to no effect,the ideal raison d’être for any interventionist effort was the old and tried one-WMD,weapons of mass destruction.After all it worked perfectly in Iraq 10 years ago,so why not try it again?In reality,a potential failure in Syria would have grave symbolic and practical repercussions for the western world,in effect undermining the core of its strategic planning,portraying the limits of its power to achieve global governance and act as the de facto global ruler-the prime goal of power centers in Washington,London and Brussels.
To that end,the western media-as always obedient to their governments,and unwilling to check even the most obvious facts-have been in concert selling the story of an alleged attack by chemical weapons,perpetrated by Assad’s forces against a rebel controlled area near Damascus.UN inspectors have been welcomed by the Syrian government in order to inspect the site of the alleged attack but even so,western powers are already condemning Assad and calling for a forceful response.A repeat of the Libya scenario is the desired outcome,while at this point there is no talk of boots on the ground,excluding special forces units of western states that have been operating in tandem with opposition forces as they did in Libya.
When a crime is perpetrated,as the case is in the Syria attack,in order to establish the guilty party,one has to ask the question who has the most to gain from it.Assad,having effectively repelled the main effort by the opposition and their western handlers to topple his government,has gone on the offensive achieving great gains and pushing his enemies to a dire position.Deploying WMDs would achieve very limited military targets while constituting an existential threat by paving the way for a western intervention.In short,it would be suicide for the Syrian government at the time when it has the momentum on its side to provide the perfect excuse for its enemies to use all their means at their disposal against it.For the opposition though it makes perfect strategic sense,just prior to the Geneva II conferance,to stage such an attack in collaboration with their western handlers in order to undermine or cancel the conferance,avoiding an unfavourable result,and potentially gaining the advantage on the ground after the Syrian army’s fighting capability has been severely reduced following a bombing campaign.
In our view there is little doubt that the latest attack,whose scope or exact nature has not yet been defined,was nothing more than yet another staged attack,to act as a propaganda tool to justify intervention on the part of the West,spearheaded by the US.It would be instructive to remember a few similar incidents perpetrated by the same actors-the western states-the past century.Most prominent and less crafty-since it was a German operation-the notorious Gleiwitz incident that heralded the beginning of WWII as Germany invaded Poland.When the US was seeking a way to intervene more forcefully in Vietnam,it staged the Gulf of Tonkin confrontations leading to an escalation of the conflict and eventually the Vietnam War.In recent history,who can forget the dramatic Nayriah “testimony”,worthy of a trained actor,that was part of a massive PR campaign to lure american public in support of the war?And finally the WMD stunt,similar to the one unfolding in Syria when the US needed to invade Iraq to finish the job of the first Gulf War and Collin Powell’s memorable UN performance.